Week 8: Flipping Coins

R.I.P. Chewbacca

Lately everyone has been talking about Cam Newton and his "moping" ways.  It all seems a bit overblown to me, but it did give me a chance to post this picture of him wearing Chewy's coat.  I think things will still turn out alright for Cam, but this week against the Bears is going to be rough.

I had a pretty solid performance last week, so I'm hoping for another one here to keep pushing those percentages up.  Some good games coming up this Sunday, but I'm hoping the Bolts win easily.  Let's see the picks....

Week 8 Appetizer

Lost track of what day it was and I almost missed the deadline!  Simply posting this here for accountability, I'll be breaking down the rest of the games prior to Sunday (a lot of tough calls, but after a brief preliminary look I like Chargers -2.5, Falcons +3, Giants -1.5, Patriots -7, and Washington +5 so far).

For tonight, give me Tampa Bay Bucs +6.5 and Under 44.  I still think the Vikings will come out with a win, but I'll say it stays close at Vikings 23 - Buccaneers 17.  And since I was on the fence for this one and didn't have a strong feeling either way (think of that monkey flipping a coin) this will NOT be one of my "Pick-6's" for the week.  Enjoy the game!

Week 7: Flipping Coins

I wanted to teach Keith a lesson for continuing to pick the Chargers!

Ugh.  That Monday night game hurt.  Rivers made far too many mistakes.  It was just a terrible collapse.  Norv has a week off to try and figure things out, but I still don't think it will matter.  San Diego just isn't going anywhere with Norv as coach, and his leash has been extended far, far too long (future blog post coming).  Hopefully Sunday will provide an entertaining slate of games that can help me forget about the Chargers' problems for awhile. 

On to the games...

"Y'all want some appetizers?"

I flew to Texas, so I think we missed this sign....

So I'm currently in the Lone Star State for the week.  I figured the title was appropriate since that was the question I was asked a few hours ago.  The whole "y'all" thing seems like a stereotype or joke when you live in California, but it's very real here in Texas.  Nevertheless it's always cool to see a new place, and fall seems like the right time to be in Texas (not too hot, cold, humid, etc.).  I am however very upset that the week I am in Dallas is a week in which the Cowboys have road games before and after my trip.  Plus the Rangers couldn't make the ALCS, so no sporting events for me....just like how I was in St. Louis for a week in July while the Cards had all road games.  Bad timing...

Anyway I've been busy and I realized I didn't have time to give my full breakdown for the week.  So this will be the abbreviated version just for the Thursday night game.  I figured y'all would want the appetizer:


Seattle Seahawks (+8.5 / U 38.5) @ San Francisco 49ers

So I'm not really buying the Seahawks.  Yes they just beat the Patriots last week, but I believe that game was a bit of a mirage.  I've mentioned before that I think Seattle has the strongest home field advantage in the league, and that only gets amplified when you have an east coast team flying across three time zones to play them.  Seattle does have a very legit defense, but their offense leaves much to be desired.

The 49ers are coming off of a terrible loss in which they were dismantled at home by the Giants.  I didn't get a chance to see much of that game, but I think the 49ers are still one of the strongest, most balanced teams in the NFL right now.  I think San Fran comes out with a win here, but since both of these teams have very strong defenses, I'm taking the points in a close game.  (Sidenote: another reason I'm taking the points here is that these Thursday night games have had a tendency to produce sloppy, low-scoring games.  Historically, a significantly higher margin of the Thursday night games have gone under the expected total.  This may be because of the short week causing problems with rest, healing from injuries, less time to prepare and gameplan, etc.  Whatever the reason, I'm taking the points in a low scoring affair).  49ers 20 - Seattle 16

See y'all when I get back to the west coast!

P.S. The line keeps moving, but I'll lock in at +8.5.  I'm including Seattle in my Pick-6 too.  Let's keep it close Seahawks!

Week 6: Flipping Coins

Well this is annoying.  I had an entire post written and formatted (although I hadn't gotten around to any pictures or clever captions yet).....and now it's gone.  I may go back and re-do it, but I don't have time at the moment.  However I will still post the picks here since there is a game tonight.  My apologies for the poor presentation and lack of commentary.....

Week 5: Flipping Coins



WHAT!?!?  Keith caught up to me???



Well I'd love to boast and brag about my 80% success rate against the spread last week, but then I'd have to remind you of my 20% rate in Week 3.  Fortunately these two weeks balance out to a nice even 50%, meaning I'm at least keeping pace with the monkey flipping coins!  Alright, on to the Week 5 "expert" picks.....

Week 4: Quick Slants



Tony Romo was playing against someone who owned Tony Romo on their
fantasy team.  So he was actually pretty happy about those 5 interceptions...


So after Week 3 provided so many bizarre headlines and stories, Week 4 was relatively quiet.  The regular referees were back in action, I had a very good week in the picks department, and the Chargers won in a blowout.  Order has been restored in the universe.  Somehow I managed to get 12 out of 15 right in my picks, against the spread AND picking winners.  Picking against the spread is supposed to be much harder than picking winners, go figure.  Anyways.....