Week 10: Flipping Coins

Hopefully this trip will not have any fear or loathing...

Week 10:  So I'm actually on I-15 right now on the way to Vegas (as a passenger, not blogging while driving).  This means my "Pick-6: Take it to Vegas" segment will be a little more literal this week.  That being said, I'm just going to jot down some brief notes on the games.  Hopefully my next post will be next to a stack of cash rather than a stack of torn up betting slips....

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Colts 20 - Jaguars 16  [Colts -3, U 41]*

Patriots 31 - Bills 17  [Pats -11, U 52.5] - Belichick has never been afraid to run up the score, and the Pats seem to do that frequently with the Bills.  I'd expect a blowout

Giants 27 - Bengals 21  [Giants -3.5, U 48.5] - Like the G-Men here, they tend to play well on the road.  Outside of A.J. Green the Bengals aren't too scary, Giants cover.

Chargers 23 - Bucs 20  [Chargers +3, U 47.5] - Ugh.  Homer pick, but I'm making it.  Way too optimistic, but it's hard for me to pick against them...

Broncos 31 - Panthers 23  [Broncos -3.5, O 47] - This line just seems to low, Peyton has been playing at a very high level.  Think the Broncos roll here.

Dolphins 20 - Titans 17  [Titans +6, U 44.5] - I'd expect a low scoring game, give me the points.

Ravens 27 - Raiders 20  [Raiders +7.5, O 46] - This one's too close, so I'm taking the points.  Hate picking the Raiders, but so it goes...

Falcons 31 - Saints 27  [Falcons -2, O 53] - This should be a fun game to watch, and I would not be shocked at all to see the Saints win this.  However I'm still taking the Falcons to stay undefeated for another week.

Vikings 20 - Lions 17  [Vikings +3, U 46.5] - I think the Vikings pull off the upset at home here.  They'll be without Percy Harvin, but the Lions have struggled all season.

Seahawks 24 - Jets 20  [Jets +6.5, O 38.5] - I think the Seahawks ultimately win here, but I'd look for a fairly close game.

Eagles 24 - Cowboys 23  [Eagles +2.5, O 44.5] - Two very disappointing teams, but I think Romo manages to out-disappoint Vick.  Give me the Eagles in a slight upset.

49ers 27 - Rams 20  [Rams +12.5, O 38.5] - Niners are clearly the better team, but 12.5 is a big spread to cover for a defensive-minded team.  Niners win, but don't cover.

Texans 24 - Bears 23  [Texans +1.5, O 40] - This should be a close, tough game.  I'm excited to watch it, but I think ultimately Schaub makes fewer mistakes than Cutler and the Texans edge it out.

Steelers 31 - Chiefs 17  [Steelers -12, O 42] - A pretty large spread, but the Chiefs are just plain bad.  Steelers at home in a primetime game, they should put up a lot of points.

Previous Week - Pick 'em: 13-1 (93%), ATS: 11-3 (79%), O/U: 10-4 (71%)                             

2012 Season - Pick 'em: 68-32 (68%), ATS: 52-45-3 (54%), O/U: 58-41-1 (59%)



Pick-6: Take it to Vegas....

Denver -3.5

Patriots -11

Giants -3.5

Vikings +3

Steelers -12

Falcons -2

Previous Week's Results: 5-1 (83%)

2012 Season Results: 21-20-1 (51%)

*This pick wasn't technically wasn't posted before the deadline, but I do have a screenshot to prove I took them with the line in my against the spread pick'em league (at -3).  Maybe you don't like that I'm counting it.  But tough, I make the rules....