Picking straight up I got 14 out of 16 last week, including correct picks on all 4 of the upsets that happened. I'll certainly take that...
Against the spread I got 10 of 15 right (Falcons-Bucs was a push). So again, no complaints there. I just should have taken the time to explain why my picks were all about to be correct haha. But enough about the past, let's move on this weeks' matchups:
SAINTS +3.5 @ Falcons - This game should be a fun one to watch. Division rivals, explosive offenses, so I'm expecting some points. Most of the Thursday games haven't been very compelling, but this one should buck the trend. Saints have dominated the Falcons over recent years, but this one should be very close. I'll take the points with the Saints, but still say Falcons edge out a slight victory. Falcons 28 - Saints 27 (Under 55.5)
JAGUARS +6 @ Bills - Both teams have shown improvement of late, especially the Jags. Henne seems to gave given the team new life, and the WR combo of Shorts and Blackmon is starting to look pretty solid. I think this will be another close matchup, and again I'm straddling the spread and the winner. Bills 23 - Jaguars 20 (Under 45.5)
Seahawks @ BEARS -3.5 - Seahawks traditionally have not played well on the road. Add that in with the historically nasty Bears defense, and I don't see Seattle getting much done. On the other hand, the Bears have Cutler back in action, so they should cover this spread without much trouble. Bears 26 - Seahawks 16 (Over 37.5)
COLTS +5 @ Lions - It's a bit surprising to see the Colts getting 5 points in this game while they sit at 7-4 and the Lions at 4-7. But it's being played in Detroit, and the Lions seem to be getting some of their rhythm back. I'm going to straddle this one too, Lions win but won't cover. Lions 27 - Colts 24 (Over 50.5)
Vikings @ PACKERS -7.5 - Packers were embarrassed last Sunday night, and I bet they try to make a statement here. Greg Jennings will be back for the first time in forever (I think he was busy doing commercials before) so look for Rodgers to get him involved. Packers 31 - Vikings 20 (Over 46.5)
TEXANS -6 @ Titans - I think Houston will continue to roll here, and the Titans just aren't really much of a threat. In their last matchup CJ2K had a big game, but I bet the Texans make the necessary adjustments. Texans 28 - Titans 17 (Under 47.5)
Panthers @ CHIEFS +3 - Ugh, I don't really know where to go in this one. Panthers have shown a little more life lately, while the Chiefs still look pathetic. That being said, they are being spotted 3 points and playing at home, so I'll take the points. Panthers 21 - Chiefs 20 (Over 40)
49ERS -7 @ Rams - Covering a touchdown on the road is a tall order, but it's hard to pick against the Niners at this point. They look pretty well-balanced, and having Kaepernick at QB gives their offense another dimension that Smith just didn't provide. Bradford continues to disappoint in St. Louis, so I think San Fran gets it done here. 49ers 28 - Rams 17 (Over 40)
Dolphins @ PATRIOTS -7.5 - Patriots are just a far better team here, and I'd imagine something similar to their Thanksgiving Day dismantling of the Jets. 7.5 shouldn't be too hard to cover at home. Patriots 30 - Dolphins 17 (Under 51.5)
Cardinals @ NEW YORK JETS -4.5 - I rarely seem to pick the Jets, especially when they are giving up points, but I just can't put any faith in the Cardinals right now. Both teams are a mess, but I'll side with the team playing at home having a defensive advantage. Jets 23 - Cardinals 16 (Over 36.5)
Buccaneers @ BRONCOS -7 - Peyton keeps marching towards his MVP/Comeback Player of the Year awards here as the Broncos take care of business at home. Bucs have continued to overperform, but I think they will start to fade, beginning here in Denver. Broncos 28 - Bucs 20 (Under 51)
BROWNS (OFF) @ Raiders - This is one of the two games that currently has no line. Maybe it's just because no one actually cares what happens here? Anyway, I'll take the Browns just on a gut call. Hard to argue many positives for either side, so I'll say the Cleveland rookies Weeden and T-Rich get a road win. Browns 21 - Raiders 20
Bengals @ CHARGERS +2.5 - Chargers getting points at home against the Bengals should really illustrate how pathetic this team is. As an honest, lifelong Charger fan, I'm legitimately rooting for losses at this point to ensure we clean house at the end of the year (and get a better draft pick in the process). I'm taking the points just cause, but I'll take the Bengals to win straight up counting on us finding another heartbreaking way to lose (although that 4th and 29 play will be very hard to top). Bengals 24 - Chargers 23 (Over 46).
Steelers @ RAVENS (OFF) - This game also has no line, but I'm assuming that's just because Big Ben's status is up in the air. I'm thinking the Ravens win this game regardless, but without Ben the Steelers look hopeless. I'll try to update this if the line changes....Ravens 27 - Steelers 17
EAGLES +10.5 @ Cowboys - The Eagles appear to have simply given up on the season. Vick still out, McCoy still out, Babin released, Castillo fired, and Andy Reid is bound to be unemployed in a month or so. All of that being said, 10.5 is a lot to give up to a shaky Dallas team that doesn't play particularly well at home. I'm taking the points, but that doesn't mean I like it....Cowboys 27 - Eagles 20 (Over 43)
GIANTS -2.5 @ Redskins - This should be a good close game, and it's a tough one to call. The game has large playoff implications for both teams, and it's awful hard to pick against RG3 right now. But something tells me the Giants edge it out. Gians 28 - Redskins 24
Previous (2 partial) Weeks - Pick 'em: 14-2 (88%), 10-4-2 ATS: (71%), O/U: 1-2 (33%)
2012 Season - Pick 'em: 90-39-1 (70%), ATS: 68-57-5 (54%), O/U: 65-49-1 (57%)
Pick-6: Take it to Vegas....
2012 Season - Pick 'em: 90-39-1 (70%), ATS: 68-57-5 (54%), O/U: 65-49-1 (57%)
Pick-6: Take it to Vegas....
Previous (2) Week's (Partial) Results: 6-1-2 (86%)
2012 Season Results: 29-25-3 (54%)
2012 Season Results: 29-25-3 (54%)
No comments:
Post a Comment